🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 205
Live
Resolves Oct 27, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
20%
No
80%
No (80%)Yes (20%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$18
Liquidity
$500
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 20%.
About this market
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 205 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 150
92%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 160
87%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 170
76%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 180
59%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 185
47%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 190
42%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 195
35%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 200
26%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 210
14%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 220
9%
Resolution
Oct 27, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$18
Liquidity$500
CategoryElections
StatusOpen