🗳️ Elections
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%
Live
Resolves Oct 25, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
42%
No
58%
No (58%)Yes (42%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$3k
Liquidity
$2k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 42%.
About this market
If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is within 0% to 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6%
35%
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Lula da Silva, 0-3%
13%
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥9%
7%
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, 6-9%
6%
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Lula da Silva, 3-6%
1%
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Lula da Silva, ≥9%
1%
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Lula da Silva, 6-9%
1%
Resolution
Oct 25, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3k
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen