🗳️ Elections
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Lula da Silva, 0-3%
Live
Resolves Oct 25, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
13%
No
87%
No (87%)Yes (13%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$784
Liquidity
$1k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 13%.
About this market
If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is within 0% to 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%
42%
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6%
35%
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥9%
7%
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, 6-9%
6%
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Lula da Silva, ≥9%
1%
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Lula da Silva, 3-6%
1%
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Lula da Silva, 6-9%
1%
Resolution
Oct 25, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$784
Liquidity$1k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen