🗳️ Elections
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, 6-9%
Live
Resolves Oct 25, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$2k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 6%.
About this market
If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is within 6% to 9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%
42%
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6%
35%
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Lula da Silva, 0-3%
13%
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥9%
7%
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Lula da Silva, ≥9%
1%
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Lula da Silva, 3-6%
1%
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory — Lula da Silva, 6-9%
1%
Resolution
Oct 25, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen