🎯 Other
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before 2028
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2028KalshiVolume-weighted avg
71%
No
29%
No (29%)Yes (71%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$85
Liquidity
$12k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 71%. Kalshi has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before May 1, 2027
48%
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before Apr 1, 2027
45%
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before Mar 1, 2027
35%
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before Feb 1, 2027
25%
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before Jan 1, 2027
24%
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before Dec 1, 2026
18%
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before Nov 1, 2026
10%
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before Oct 1, 2026
2%
Resolution
Jan 1, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$85
Liquidity$12k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen