🎯 Other
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before Nov 1, 2026
Live
Resolves Nov 1, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$3k
Liquidity
$74k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 5%. Kalshi has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before 2028
68%
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before May 1, 2027
50%
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before Apr 1, 2027
46%
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before Mar 1, 2027
29%
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before Feb 1, 2027
25%
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before Jan 1, 2027
20%
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before Dec 1, 2026
11%
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before Oct 1, 2026
2%
Resolution
Nov 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3k
Liquidity$74k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen