🎯 Other
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before May 1, 2027
Live
Resolves May 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
75%
No
25%
No (25%)Yes (75%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$494
Liquidity
$41k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 75%. Kalshi has moved up 18pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before May 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before 2028
88%
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before Apr 1, 2027
71%
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before Mar 1, 2027
66%
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before Feb 1, 2027
48%
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before Jan 1, 2027
30%
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before Dec 1, 2026
8%
Resolution
May 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$494
Liquidity$41k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen