🎯 Other
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before Dec 1, 2026
Live
Resolves Dec 1, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
8%
No
92%
No (92%)Yes (8%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$46k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 8%. Kalshi has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before 2028
88%
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before May 1, 2027
75%
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before Apr 1, 2027
71%
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before Mar 1, 2027
66%
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before Feb 1, 2027
48%
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? — Before Jan 1, 2027
30%
Resolution
Dec 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$46k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen