📊 Macro
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.9%

Live
Resolves Dec 10, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
9%
No
91%
No (91%)Yes (9%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$10k
Liquidity
$11k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 9%. Kalshi has moved down 24pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.9% in the twelve months ending November 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.4%
98%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.0%
97%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.5%
96%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.3%
96%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.2%
93%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.1%
92%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.6%
83%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.7%
72%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 3.8%
25%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.8%
7%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.6%
4%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.2%
4%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.4%
4%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.7%
4%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.3%
4%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.9%
4%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.5%
4%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 5.0%
4%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.1%
3%
Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY) — Above 4.0%
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
9%
probability of YES
Kalshi
9%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 10, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$10k
Liquidity$11k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen