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🗳️ Elections
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil?

Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil? — Before Feb 1, 2027

Live
Resolves Feb 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
7%
No
93%
No (93%)Yes (7%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$125
Liquidity
$150

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 7%.

About this market

If, after Issuance and before Feb 1, 2027, Flávio Bolsonaro visits Brazil by physically travelling to and being present within its geographic boundaries, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil?

Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil? — Before Jul 1, 2027
16%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil? — Before Apr 1, 2027
11%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil? — Before Jan 1, 2027
5%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil? — Before Dec 1, 2026
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
7%
probability of YES
Kalshi
7%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Feb 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$125
Liquidity$150
CategoryElections
StatusOpen