📊 Macro
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 3.5%
Live
Resolves Oct 30, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
32%
No
68%
No (68%)Yes (32%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$264
Liquidity
$9k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 32%. Kalshi has moved down 5pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 3.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 0.0%
99%
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 0.5%
99%
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 1.0%
97%
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 2.0%
95%
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 1.5%
94%
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 2.5%
81%
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 3.0%
68%
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? — Above 4.0%
20%
Resolution
Oct 30, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$264
Liquidity$9k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen