🗳️ Elections
Texas Governor: margin of victory
Texas Governor: margin of victory — Gina Hinojosa, 2-4%
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
16%
No
84%
No (84%)Yes (16%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$12k
Liquidity
$11k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 16%.
About this market
If the margin of victory for Gina Hinojosa in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Texas Governor: margin of victory
Texas Governor: margin of victory — Greg Abbott, 2-4%
12%
Texas Governor: margin of victory — Greg Abbott, 4-6%
12%
Texas Governor: margin of victory — Greg Abbott, 6-8%
12%
Texas Governor: margin of victory — Greg Abbott, 0-2%
11%
Texas Governor: margin of victory — Gina Hinojosa, 0-2%
11%
Texas Governor: margin of victory — Greg Abbott, 8-10%
7%
Texas Governor: margin of victory — Gina Hinojosa, ≥6%
7%
Texas Governor: margin of victory — Gina Hinojosa, 4-6%
6%
Texas Governor: margin of victory — Greg Abbott, ≥12%
4%
Texas Governor: margin of victory — Greg Abbott, 10-12%
3%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$12k
Liquidity$11k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen