🗳️ Elections

Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?

Live
Resolves Dec 12, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
34%
No
66%
No (66%)Yes (34%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 34%.

About this market

If the United States federal government is at least partially shut down due to a lapse of appropriations at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
Elections
1%
AfD in a German state government in 2026?
Elections
41%
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
Elections
4%
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Elections
5%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
34%
probability of YES
Kalshi
34%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Dec 12, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen