🗳️ Elections
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Jan 1, 2029

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2029Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
86%
No
14%
No (14%)Yes (86%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$40

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 86%.

About this market

If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Jul 1, 2028
83%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Jan 1, 2028
70%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Oct 1, 2027
47%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Jul 1, 2027
44%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Apr 1, 2027
37%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Dec 1, 2026
19%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Nov 1, 2026
14%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Oct 1, 2026
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
86%
probability of YES
Kalshi
86%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2029
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$40
CategoryElections
StatusOpen