🗳️ Elections
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Dec 1, 2026

Live
Resolves Dec 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
19%
No
81%
No (81%)Yes (19%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$579
Liquidity
$60k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 19%. Kalshi has moved down 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Jan 1, 2029
86%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Jul 1, 2028
83%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Jan 1, 2028
70%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Oct 1, 2027
47%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Jul 1, 2027
44%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Apr 1, 2027
37%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Nov 1, 2026
14%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — Before Oct 1, 2026
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
19%
probability of YES
Kalshi
19%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$579
Liquidity$60k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen