Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25) — October 19

Live

Resolves Oct 27, 2026Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

18%

82%

No (82%)Yes (18%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 18%.

About this market

If Oct 19, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25)

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25) — October 25

15%

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25) — October 22

14%

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25) — October 21

14%

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25) — October 24

14%

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25) — October 23

14%

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25) — October 20

10%

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

18%

probability of YES

Kalshi

18%Check

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Resolution

Oct 27, 2026

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$289

Liquidity$626

CategoryElections

StatusOpen