🗳️ Elections
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 7
Live
Resolves Nov 10, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$4k
Liquidity
$2k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 6%. Kalshi has moved down 44pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 7 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 3
94%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 4
83%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 5
53%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 6
30%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 8
5%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 9
3%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 10
1%
Resolution
Nov 10, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$4k
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen