🗳️ Elections
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/16 - 11/22)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 3
Live
Resolves Nov 24, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
88%
No
12%
No (12%)Yes (88%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$220
Liquidity
$220
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 88%.
About this market
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 3 from Nov 16, 2026 to Nov 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/16 - 11/22)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 4
83%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 5
67%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 6
51%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 7
30%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 8
19%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 9
12%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 10
7%
Resolution
Nov 24, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$220
Liquidity$220
CategoryElections
StatusOpen