🗳️ Elections
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4) — Above 4
Live
Resolves Oct 6, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
92%
No
8%
No (8%)Yes (92%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$45
Liquidity
$721
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 92%.
About this market
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 4 from Sep 28, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4) — Above 6
64%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4) — Above 8
32%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4) — Above 10
15%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4) — Above 12
7%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4) — Above 14
3%
Resolution
Oct 6, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$45
Liquidity$721
CategoryElections
StatusOpen