🗳️ Elections
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 12
Live
Resolves Oct 20, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$13k
Liquidity
$6k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 2%.
About this market
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 12 from Oct 12, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 4
87%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 5
64%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 6
34%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 8
10%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 10
6%
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18) — Above 14
3%
Resolution
Oct 20, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$13k
Liquidity$6k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen