🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 20
Live
Resolves Nov 10, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
74%
No
26%
No (26%)Yes (74%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$80
Liquidity
$372
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 74%.
About this market
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 15
94%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 23
55%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 25
48%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 27
37%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 30
23%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 35
14%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 40
5%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 50
2%
Resolution
Nov 10, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$80
Liquidity$372
CategoryElections
StatusOpen