🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 40
Live
Resolves Nov 10, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$13k
Liquidity
$4k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 5%.
About this market
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 40 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 15
94%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 20
74%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 23
55%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 25
48%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 27
37%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 30
23%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 35
14%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 50
2%
Resolution
Nov 10, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$13k
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen