🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 23
Live
Resolves Nov 10, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
55%
No
45%
No (45%)Yes (55%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$27
Liquidity
$249
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 55%.
About this market
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 23 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 15
94%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 20
74%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 25
48%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 27
37%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 30
23%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 35
14%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 40
5%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 50
2%
Resolution
Nov 10, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$27
Liquidity$249
CategoryElections
StatusOpen