🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 25

Live
Resolves Sep 29, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
59%
No
41%
No (41%)Yes (59%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$279
Liquidity
$268

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 59%.

About this market

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 25 from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 10
97%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 15
94%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 20
79%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 30
39%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 35
15%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 40
8%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 75
6%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 50
5%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 45
4%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 100
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
59%
probability of YES
Kalshi
59%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Sep 29, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$279
Liquidity$268
CategoryElections
StatusOpen