🗳️ Elections
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Jens-Frederik Nielsen

Live
Resolves Jan 2, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 5%.

About this market

If Jens-Frederik Nielsen has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Greenland or has actually left Prime Minister of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Christopher Luxon
50%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Benjamin Netanyahu
41%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Pedro Sánchez
33%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Sébastien Lecornu
25%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Friedrich Merz
13%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Miguel Díaz-Canel
13%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Rodrigo Paz Pereira
11%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Delcy Rodriguez
10%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
10%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Volodymyr Zelenskyy
9%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Mette Frederiksen
9%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Ahmad al-Sharaa
8%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Cyril Ramaphosa
8%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Félix Tshisekedi
7%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Lee Jae Myung
5%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Vladimir Putin
5%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Mohammed bin Salman
5%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Mark Carney
5%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Emmanuel Macron
5%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Giorgia Meloni
4%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
4%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Sanae Takaichi
4%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Claudia Sheinbaum
4%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Denis Sassou Nguesso
4%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Javier Milei
3%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Ramzan Kadyrov
3%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Nayib Bukele
3%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Kim Jong Un
2%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Xi Jinping
2%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Narendra Modi
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
5%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 2, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen