🗳️ Elections
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Christopher Luxon
Live
Resolves Jan 2, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
46%
No
54%
No (54%)Yes (46%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$6
Liquidity
$6k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 46%.
About this market
If Christopher Luxon has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of New Zealand or has actually left Prime Minister of New Zealand before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Pedro Sánchez
18%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Benjamin Netanyahu
18%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Sébastien Lecornu
15%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Edi Rama
11%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Miguel Díaz-Canel
9%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Rodrigo Paz Pereira
9%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Volodymyr Zelenskyy
8%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Mohammed bin Salman
7%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Cyril Ramaphosa
6%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Mette Frederiksen
6%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Delcy Rodriguez
6%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Friedrich Merz
6%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Félix Tshisekedi
6%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Emmanuel Macron
6%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Denis Sassou Nguesso
5%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Lee Jae Myung
5%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Jens-Frederik Nielsen
5%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Daniel Noboa
5%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Giorgia Meloni
4%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Kim Jong Un
4%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
4%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Vladimir Putin
4%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Javier Milei
4%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Sanae Takaichi
4%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Narendra Modi
3%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Ramzan Kadyrov
3%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Ahmad al-Sharaa
3%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Nayib Bukele
3%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Xi Jinping
3%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Claudia Sheinbaum
2%
Resolution
Jan 2, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6
Liquidity$6k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen