🗳️ Elections
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Live
Resolves Jan 2, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
12%
No
88%
No (88%)Yes (12%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$42k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 12%. Kalshi has moved up 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Volodymyr Zelenskyy has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Ukraine or has actually left President of Ukraine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Christopher Luxon
46%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Benjamin Netanyahu
39%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Sébastien Lecornu
20%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Edi Rama
18%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Pedro Sánchez
18%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Miguel Díaz-Canel
13%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Cyril Ramaphosa
11%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Rodrigo Paz Pereira
10%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Delcy Rodriguez
9%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Mohammed bin Salman
8%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Friedrich Merz
7%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Kim Jong Un
6%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Mette Frederiksen
6%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Daniel Noboa
6%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Félix Tshisekedi
6%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Ramzan Kadyrov
6%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Denis Sassou Nguesso
6%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Emmanuel Macron
6%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Jens-Frederik Nielsen
5%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Lee Jae Myung
5%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
5%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Narendra Modi
5%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Vladimir Putin
5%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Mark Carney
4%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
4%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Giorgia Meloni
4%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Javier Milei
4%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Ahmad al-Sharaa
3%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Xi Jinping
3%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026? — Claudia Sheinbaum
3%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
12%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 2, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$42k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen