🗳️ Elections
Florida Governor margin of victory
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 18+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$15
Liquidity
$488
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 2%. Kalshi has moved down 6pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Florida Governor margin of victory
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 1+ pts
77%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 3+ pts
66%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 6+ pts
40%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 9+ pts
20%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 12+ pts
15%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 3+ pts
11%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 6+ pts
6%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 15+ pts
6%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$15
Liquidity$488
CategoryElections
StatusOpen