🗳️ Elections
Florida Senate margin of victory

Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 4+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
80%
No
20%
No (20%)Yes (80%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$452
Liquidity
$9k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 80%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Florida Senate margin of victory

Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 2+ pts
83%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 6+ pts
63%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 8+ pts
49%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 10+ pts
35%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 12+ pts
23%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 14+ pts
12%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 16+ pts
9%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Moody, 18+ pts
8%
Florida Senate margin of victory — Nixon, 2+ pts
8%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
80%
probability of YES
Kalshi
80%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$452
Liquidity$9k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen