🗳️ Elections
Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 5+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
20%
No
80%
No (80%)Yes (20%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$400
Liquidity
$11k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 20%. Kalshi has moved up 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 1+ pts
54%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 3+ pts
37%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 1+ pts
37%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 3+ pts
29%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 7+ pts
20%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 5+ pts
13%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 7+ pts
10%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 11+ pts
9%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 9+ pts
9%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 13+ pts
6%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
20%
probability of YES
Kalshi
20%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$400
Liquidity$11k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen