Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 5+ pts

Live

Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

35%

65%

No (65%)Yes (35%)

Check on Kalshi →

Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 35%. Kalshi has moved down 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 1+ pts

59%

Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 3+ pts

45%

Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 1+ pts

31%

Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 7+ pts

27%

Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 3+ pts

27%

Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 5+ pts

17%

Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 9+ pts

13%

Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 11+ pts

11%

Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 7+ pts

10%

Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 13+ pts

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

35%

probability of YES

Kalshi

35%Check

TG WA

Create Widget

Resolution

Nov 3, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$16

Liquidity$15k

CategoryElections

StatusOpen