Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 9+ pts

Live

Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

13%

87%

No (87%)Yes (13%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 13%. Kalshi has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 1+ pts

58%

Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 3+ pts

49%

Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 5+ pts

36%

Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 1+ pts

31%

Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 7+ pts

25%

Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 3+ pts

22%

Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 5+ pts

17%

Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 11+ pts

13%

Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 7+ pts

10%

Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 13+ pts

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

13%

probability of YES

Kalshi

13%Check

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Resolution

Nov 3, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$443

Liquidity$4k

CategoryElections

StatusOpen