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Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 6+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
27%
No
73%
No (73%)Yes (27%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$9k
Liquidity
$13k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 27%. Kalshi has moved up 5pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 0.5+ pts
71%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 1+ pts
67%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 1.5+ pts
64%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 2+ pts
57%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 2.5+ pts
57%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 3+ pts
48%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 3.5+ pts
44%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 4+ pts
39%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 4.5+ pts
39%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 5+ pts
36%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 5.5+ pts
32%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 1+ pts
28%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 2+ pts
25%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 7+ pts
25%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 8+ pts
18%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 3+ pts
17%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 4+ pts
15%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 9+ pts
14%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 11+ pts
13%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 5+ pts
11%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 6+ pts
9%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 13+ pts
8%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 7+ pts
7%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 8+ pts
6%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 12+ pts
5%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 10+ pts
5%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
27%
probability of YES
Kalshi
27%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$9k
Liquidity$13k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen