🗳️ Elections
Maine Senate margin of victory
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 5.8+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
60%
No
40%
No (40%)Yes (60%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$4k
Liquidity
$6k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 60%. Kalshi has moved up 54pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine by 5.8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Maine Senate margin of victory
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 3.5+ pts
100%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 2+ pts
100%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 5.5+ pts
100%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 2.5+ pts
100%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 1+ pts
100%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 1.5+ pts
100%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 3+ pts
100%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 4+ pts
100%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 0.5+ pts
99%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 5+ pts
98%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 4.5+ pts
98%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 5.6+ pts
90%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 5.7+ pts
79%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 5.9+ pts
38%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 6+ pts
24%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 6.5+ pts
12%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 6.2+ pts
11%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 13+ pts
3%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 11+ pts
1%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 7+ pts
0%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 8+ pts
0%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 9+ pts
0%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$4k
Liquidity$6k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen