🗳️ Elections
Maine Senate margin of victory
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 5.5+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
28%
No
72%
No (72%)Yes (28%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$8k
Liquidity
$4k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 28%.
About this market
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine by 5.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Maine Senate margin of victory
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 0.5+ pts
71%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 1+ pts
67%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 1.5+ pts
64%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 2+ pts
57%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 2.5+ pts
57%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 3+ pts
48%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 3.5+ pts
44%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 4+ pts
39%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 4.5+ pts
39%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 5+ pts
36%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 6+ pts
29%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 1+ pts
28%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 2+ pts
25%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 7+ pts
25%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 8+ pts
18%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 3+ pts
17%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 4+ pts
15%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 9+ pts
14%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 11+ pts
13%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 5+ pts
11%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 6+ pts
9%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 13+ pts
8%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 7+ pts
7%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 8+ pts
6%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 12+ pts
5%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 10+ pts
5%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$8k
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen