🗳️ Elections

Will Trump order more tariffs in Nov 2026?

Live
Resolves Dec 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
42%
No
58%
No (58%)Yes (42%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$83
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 42%.

About this market

If Donald Trump has taken any executive action imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
42%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Dec 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$83
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen