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🗳️ Elections
New Zealand general election winner?

New Zealand general election winner? — Opportunity

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$498

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%. Kalshi has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Opportunity party wins the next New Zealand general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · New Zealand general election winner?

New Zealand general election winner? — National
94%
New Zealand general election winner? — Labour
9%
New Zealand general election winner? — ACT
1%
New Zealand general election winner? — Green
0%
New Zealand general election winner? — NZ First
0%
New Zealand general election winner? — Te Pāti Māori
0%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
1%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 31, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$498
CategoryElections
StatusOpen