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🗳️ Elections
New Zealand general election winner?

New Zealand general election winner? — National

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
36%
No
64%
No (64%)Yes (36%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$30k
Liquidity
$29k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 36%. Kalshi has moved down 33pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the National party wins the next New Zealand general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · New Zealand general election winner?

New Zealand general election winner? — Labour
4%
New Zealand general election winner? — Opportunity
1%
New Zealand general election winner? — ACT
1%
New Zealand general election winner? — Green
0%
New Zealand general election winner? — NZ First
0%
New Zealand general election winner? — Te Pāti Māori
0%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
36%
probability of YES
Kalshi
36%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 31, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$30k
Liquidity$29k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen