🗳️ Elections
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Elon Musk

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$187
Liquidity
$10k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%.

About this market

If Elon Musk wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms
14%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Doctors Without Borders
10%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine
9%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Save the Children
9%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Court of Justice (ICJ)
7%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Criminal Court
4%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Yulia Navalnaya
4%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Committee to Protect Journalists
4%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Peace Research Association (IPRA)
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Concordis International
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Reporters Without Borders (RSF)
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Sara Al-Saqqa
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Mark Carney
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Vanessa Nakate
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Space Station / ISS partnership
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — UNRWA
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC)
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Francesca Albanese
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Pope Leo XIV
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Shehbaz Sharif
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Parents Circle – Families Forum
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Chow Hang-tung
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Matt Meyer
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Yad Vashem
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Association of Judges (IAJ)
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Narges Mohammadi
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — European Union
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Sam Altman
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
1%Check
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Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$187
Liquidity$10k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen