🗳️ Elections
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Pope Leo XIV
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
3%
No
97%
No (97%)Yes (3%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$312
Liquidity
$21k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 3%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Pope Leo XIV wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)
12%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Yulia Navalnaya
11%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)
11%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Save the Children
11%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine
7%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Court of Justice (ICJ)
6%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Criminal Court
6%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Volodymyr Zelenskyy
6%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Shehbaz Sharif
6%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Committee to Protect Journalists
5%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Narges Mohammadi
5%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Mark Carney
5%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Sara Al-Saqqa
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Donald Trump
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — UNRWA
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Francesca Albanese
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Dario Amodei
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Minneapolis
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Elon Musk
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — European Union
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Sam Altman
1%
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$312
Liquidity$21k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen