🗳️ Elections
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Elon Musk

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$173
Liquidity
$4k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%.

About this market

If Elon Musk wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Save the Children
12%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Yulia Navalnaya
10%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)
9%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine
8%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Court of Justice (ICJ)
6%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)
5%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Committee to Protect Journalists
5%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Narges Mohammadi
4%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Criminal Court
4%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Mark Carney
4%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Sara Al-Saqqa
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Francesca Albanese
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Donald Trump
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — UNRWA
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Shehbaz Sharif
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Pope Leo XIV
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Volodymyr Zelenskyy
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Dario Amodei
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Minneapolis
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — European Union
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Sam Altman
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
1%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$173
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen