🗳️ Elections
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Donald Trump
Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$25k
Liquidity
$387k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 4%. Kalshi has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Donald Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Save the Children
15%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)
13%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)
12%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Yulia Navalnaya
10%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine
7%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Volodymyr Zelenskyy
6%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Court of Justice (ICJ)
6%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Criminal Court
6%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Shehbaz Sharif
6%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Committee to Protect Journalists
5%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Mark Carney
5%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Narges Mohammadi
4%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — UNRWA
4%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Sara Al-Saqqa
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Francesca Albanese
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Pope Leo XIV
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Dario Amodei
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Minneapolis
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Sam Altman
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Elon Musk
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — European Union
1%
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$25k
Liquidity$387k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen