🗳️ Elections
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Sam Altman

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$59

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%.

About this market

If Sam Altman wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)
13%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)
12%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Save the Children
11%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Yulia Navalnaya
10%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Mark Carney
8%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine
8%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Court of Justice (ICJ)
6%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Criminal Court
6%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Volodymyr Zelenskyy
6%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Shehbaz Sharif
6%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Narges Mohammadi
5%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Committee to Protect Journalists
5%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — UNRWA
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Minneapolis
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Donald Trump
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Dario Amodei
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Sara Al-Saqqa
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Pope Leo XIV
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Elon Musk
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Francesca Albanese
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — European Union
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
1%Check
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$59
CategoryElections
StatusOpen