🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15)
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 320
Live
Resolves Nov 17, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
47%
No
53%
No (53%)Yes (47%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$11k
Liquidity
$8k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 47%. Kalshi has moved down 52pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 320 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15)
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 260
99%
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 270
98%
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 280
98%
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 290
95%
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 300
85%
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 310
66%
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 350
29%
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 330
29%
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 340
18%
Resolution
Nov 17, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$11k
Liquidity$8k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen