📊 Macro
Unemployment in November
Unemployment in November — Above 3.8%
Live
Resolves Dec 4, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
87%
No
13%
No (13%)Yes (87%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$177
Liquidity
$973
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 87%. Kalshi has moved down 11pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 3.8% in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Unemployment in November
Unemployment in November — Above 3.7%
99%
Unemployment in November — Above 3.9%
86%
Unemployment in November — Above 4.0%
74%
Unemployment in November — Above 4.3%
61%
Unemployment in November — Above 4.4%
50%
Unemployment in November — Above 4.1%
46%
Unemployment in November — Above 4.2%
22%
Unemployment in November — Above 4.7%
2%
Unemployment in November — Above 4.6%
2%
Unemployment in November — Above 4.5%
2%
Unemployment in November — Above 5.0%
1%
Unemployment in November — Above 4.8%
1%
Unemployment in November — Above 4.9%
1%
Resolution
Dec 4, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$177
Liquidity$973
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen