Predictboard ·
📊 Macro
Unemployment in November

Unemployment in November — Above 4.4%

Live
Resolves Dec 4, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
50%
No
50%
No (50%)Yes (50%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$45
Liquidity
$460

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 50%.

About this market

If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.4% in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Unemployment in November

Unemployment in November — Above 3.7%
99%
Unemployment in November — Above 3.8%
87%
Unemployment in November — Above 3.9%
86%
Unemployment in November — Above 4.0%
74%
Unemployment in November — Above 4.3%
61%
Unemployment in November — Above 4.1%
46%
Unemployment in November — Above 4.2%
22%
Unemployment in November — Above 4.7%
2%
Unemployment in November — Above 4.5%
2%
Unemployment in November — Above 4.6%
2%
Unemployment in November — Above 4.8%
1%
Unemployment in November — Above 5.0%
1%
Unemployment in November — Above 4.9%
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
50%
probability of YES
Kalshi
50%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 4, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$45
Liquidity$460
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen