🗳️ Elections
Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline?

Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline? — Before Nov 1, 2026

Live
Resolves Nov 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
88%
No
12%
No (12%)Yes (88%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$58
Liquidity
$5k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 88%.

About this market

If the governments of the United States and China have formally announced an agreement to establish, or have implemented, a bilateral notification mechanism for AI incidents that could affect national security after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline?

Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline? — Before Jan 1, 2027
72%
Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline? — Before Oct 1, 2026
16%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
88%
probability of YES
Kalshi
88%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$58
Liquidity$5k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen