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When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

When will OpenAI achieve AGI? — Before 2030

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2030Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
63%
No
37%
No (37%)Yes (63%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$8k
Liquidity
$83k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 63%. Kalshi has moved up 5pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

When will OpenAI achieve AGI? — Before 2028
45%
When will OpenAI achieve AGI? — Before 2027
10%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
63%
probability of YES
Kalshi
63%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2030
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$8k
Liquidity$83k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen