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🗳️ Elections
Larger Senate margin: Hinson or Marshall?

Larger Senate margin: Hinson or Marshall? — Roger Marshall

Live
Resolves Dec 7, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
40%
No
60%
No (60%)Yes (40%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$4k
Liquidity
$3k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 40%.

About this market

If Roger Marshall's margin in the Kansas U.S. Senate election minus Ashley Hinson's margin in the Iowa U.S. Senate election is above 0 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Larger Senate margin: Hinson or Marshall?

Larger Senate margin: Hinson or Marshall? — Ashley Hinson
60%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
40%
probability of YES
Kalshi
40%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 7, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$4k
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen