🗳️ Elections

Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
9%
No
91%
No (91%)Yes (9%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$360

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 9%. Polymarket has moved down 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if trial proceedings for any case against Luigi Mangione are begun by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Once the jury is empaneled and sworn in, trial proceedings will be considered to have begun in a qualifying case. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
9%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$360
CategoryElections
StatusOpen